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In half a century, if China wants to surpass the United States in the field of technology, these two things are imperative

Tech 2023-05-19 11:52:13 Source: Network
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Wen/Ren Ren Chang AnjunThe exploration of this article is based on the following logical foundations:In the next half century or the entire century, or even longer, if there is no global war, the technological competition between China and the United States will become the main theme of global technological competition. At the same time, it will deeply affect the competition and cooperation between the two countries in various fields such as economy, finance, military, and thus exert influence on the economic and other fields of other countries


Wen/Ren Ren Chang Anjun


The exploration of this article is based on the following logical foundations:

In the next half century or the entire century, or even longer, if there is no global war, the technological competition between China and the United States will become the main theme of global technological competition. At the same time, it will deeply affect the competition and cooperation between the two countries in various fields such as economy, finance, military, and thus exert influence on the economic and other fields of other countries.

Given the importance of the results of the technology competition between China and the United States, as well as the cultural and institutional differences between China and the United States, leading to differences in global policies, China needs to strive to gain a voice and technological strength no less than that of the United States in the technology competition between China and the United States, in order to achieve an international position that is at least on par with the United States.


The reasons and specific technologies involved will be explained in the next section

Firstly, the title does not refer to the short-term period of three to five years, but at least 15 years. The medium-term time scale is over 30 years, while the long-term time scale is at least 50 years, or even 100 years.

Some people may feel that this behavior is similar to "summer insect language ice" - you don't even live to be 100 years old, what's the point of saying things that far away? I dare not say it is necessarily meaningful, but I personally believe that all rational discussions will help us hold a more firm and clear stance and attitude in the destined long competition between China and the United States.

Today's article mainly discusses how to promote the achievement of the above three goals from two aspects: institutional construction and capital resource guidance.


The Core Leading Unit of China's Scientific Research System - Chinese Academy of Sciences


Firstly, the construction of the scientific and technological innovation system is a work that needs continuous optimization, and the current system has fallen behind the current development status


Let's talk about some vague and conceptual things first.

There is a tradition of 'conservative' in our cultural attributes, and the so-called ancestral laws cannot be abandoned. This tradition has to some extent become one of the reasons why the Chinese nation has been passed down to this day, but in modern terms, this idea is actually a serious "path dependence".

Some people say it's useful, but in fact, it's not. It has been useful in more than two thousand years of feudal history because China's cultural environment has been stable, so many things have been passed down for two thousand years until modern times. When a new civilization armed with technological innovation appears in the Eastern world, I think each of us knows what has happened. We have encountered a century long upheaval, almost 'the country will be defeated'.

One of our cultural traditions is to learn from the strengths of others and make it Chinese, which must be inherited

Because the objects served by the technological innovation system are constantly updated knowledge, constantly flowing talents, and constantly changing markets,It requires foresight, feasibility, and sustainability.

Speaking so much not only indicates that it is a work that needs continuous optimization, but also that our current scientific and technological innovation system is a bit behind the current development status. I think it is necessary to briefly explain it as a warning.


Guo Moruo, the first president of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, is one of the pioneers of China's current research system framework


At present, China does not have a sound scientific and technological innovation system, and the representative one is the scientific research system with its basic framework set in the 1950s,This system can be understood as "one core with multiple wings", which is a system with the research institute system of the Chinese Academy of Sciences as the core, and universities, industrial research institutions, commercial research institutions, etc. as auxiliary.

This system has undergone two major institutional reforms, the first in the early stages of reform and opening up, and the second after joining the World Trade Organization.

From the perspective of the construction of the entire scientific and technological innovation system, there have been relatively small changes in the scientific research system and significant resistance to reform. There are historical reasons behind this; In addition, the significant changes are the improvement of relevant institutional systems in the field of higher education, but there are also issues of being too passive and having a serious bureaucratic style; In addition, in order to adapt to industrial developmentThe establishment of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology - I believe this is one of the biggest innovations in China's technological innovation system.

Overall, China's scientific and technological innovation system is a basic framework led by the government, led by the Chinese Academy of Sciences, and coordinated by universities, research institutions, enterprises, etc.For many years after the founding of the People's Republic of China, this system has played a very important role in promoting China's scientific and technological development from 0 to 1, to 60 or even 80, such as the research and development of two bombs and one satellite, and the scientific and technological breakthroughs of major national defense projects.But it also causes many problems, resulting in redundant human resources, low efficiency, and a pervasive bureaucratic style throughout the systemThe Failure of Talent Evaluation System



In addition, there should be some forward-looking thinking,Technology breakthroughs and reserves for the future

In short, the current technological innovation system has reached a point where reform is necessary, and even a framework level discussion needs to be conducted again - whether the Chinese Academy of Sciences should still be the center, and


US atomic bomb test


Secondly, developing technology requires both money and people


From an application perspective,

Before World War II or World War I, the entire social system of the United States may be more inclined to comply with market needs, focusing on promoting the upgrading of industrial manufacturing capabilities and developing its own livelihood economy in the direction of capital resources guidance,



After the reform and opening up, we began to shift our mindset from a planned economy to a market economy, which was actually accompanied by a shift in the direction of capital and resource guidance

This slight change in technology's focus on direction has led to a more rational allocation of capital and resources,




Write at the end


Institutional advantages

But I want to say that's not something we're proud of,GDP


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